Tag Archives: Champions League

How are your prediction skills?

The competition is now closed but you can still order David’s book and get a 25% discount with the link in this article. Around a year ago I met, in a virtual sense, David Sumpter, a professor of mathematics at … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Current Champions League team most likely to win Europa League

The Europa League kicks off on Thursday, 18 September and at this stage there is less chance of an eventual Europa League winner coming from one of the 48 teams starting the competition than there is from one of the … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Big Spanish clubs almost certain of CL last 16

The Champions League kicks off this week and the big three Spanish clubs in Euro Club Index terms are all but certain of making the second round of the competition. The fourth Spanish team, Athletic Bilbao, have profited more than … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

CL draw system increases Group of Death chance

The Champions League draw pots for this evening are based on the UEFA coefficients for clubs at the end of last season. Those coefficients are based on a five year performance in European competition. In general, this system works reasonably … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Champions League draw: who to avoid, who to wish for

I have previously written about the luck of the draw and how this affected both Manchester City and Chelsea in particular last season. Both clubs went out at the Champions League group stage after being drawn in much tougher groups … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , | 2 Comments

Arjen Robben and The Big Match Fallacy

Arjen Robben has been one of the best and most consistent footballers in the world over the last 10 years or so but few see him that way. Why is this? Could it be that people are falling for the … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , | 4 Comments

The real story about City’s CL campaign

After Manchester City’s 2-2 draw with Ajax on matchday 4, the general assessment was that City’s poor performances in the Champions League are manager Roberto Mancini’s fault and he needs to be replaced. Similar things are being said today after City’s … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment