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Monthly Archives: January 2016
Again no FA Cup third round shock
This year’s FA Cup third round is now complete and, for the second year in a row, there hasn’t been a genuine shock result at this stage of the competition. This season and last join 2004/2005 and 2011/2012 as the … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Everton, FA Cup, Leeds United, Major Shocks, Manchester United, Oldham Athletic, Shocks, Third round, upsets
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Premier League rich but performs below par
The Deloitte Money League has been released and unsurprisingly, the Euro Club Index ranking, which rates clubs based on performance, is highly correlated with this annual ranking of wealth. Four of the top-five clubs on the Deloitte list are also … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Arsenal, Chelsea, football, Liverpool, Manchester City, Manchester United, Premier League
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Premier League forecasters wrong-footed
At the beginning of the 2015/2016 Premier League season, we at Scoreboard Journalism collected 92 pre-season forecasts from journalists, statistical modellers and fans. Steve Lawrence carried out an initial analysis and discovered that this season’s forecasts are way off the … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged coefficient of variation, mean, Pearsons r, Predictions, Premier League, Soccermetric, Steve Lawrence
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The disappearance of the top teenage tennis player
If, like me, you grew up watching tennis in the late-1970s and early-1980s, you’d remember numerous teenage players at the top of the women’s game. At Grand Slam tournaments during those years, it was perfectly common for around one third … Continue reading
Hot streaks likely to push points higher than model forecasts?
Alexej Behnisch and Constantinos Chappas have both produced excellent articles over the last few days outlining Premier League predictions at approximately the halfway stage of the season. The six models contained in Alexej’s analysis have their Premier League champions this season … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Arsenal, Chelsea, Liverpool, Manchester City, Manchester United, Premier League
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Oxford beat Swansea – another non-existent FA Cup shock
Oxford United’s 3-2 win against Swansea City marked the first time in four years that a fourth tier team had knocked a Premier League team out of the FA Cup. In 2012, League Two club Swindon Town beat the Premier … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Burnley, Crystal Palace, FA Cup, Oxford United, Premier League, Shocks, Shrewsbury Town, Swansea City, upsets, Walsall
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Can Leicester continue to surprise?
Leicester City enter 2016 in second position in the Premier League, level on points with leaders Arsenal. The Foxes are the 10th “surprise” team of the 20 club era to reach the halfway point of the season in the top four … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Arsenal, Aston Villa, Claudio Ranieri, Euro Club Index, Leicester City, Nottingham Forest, Premier League, Southampton
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