Tag Archives: Aston Villa

Predicting the unpredictable

The Premier League season is coming around again and I am collecting predictions this week. Please check my Twitter timeline for details (@simongleave) or contact me there. Jan Mullenberg (@nacstatistieken), with assistance from Richard Lochten, has kindly written the blog … Continue reading

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Can Leicester continue to surprise?

Leicester City enter 2016 in second position in the Premier League, level on points with leaders Arsenal. The Foxes are the 10th “surprise” team of the 20 club era to reach the halfway point of the season in the top four … Continue reading

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Assessing the Premier League predictions

At the beginning of the Premier League season, and also at the end of the transfer window, we collected a total of 60 predictions for the final rank order of this season’s Premier League. Some were submitted to us with … Continue reading

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Boring Premier League? That ship sailed long ago

An article appeared in the Daily Telegraph this week suggesting that the Premier League is at risk of being boring. The key quote was, “The point is this: the Premier League has become predictable. And that predictability is in danger … Continue reading

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Euro Club Index: Chelsea would win title in 2 seasons out of every 3 from here

With 17 matches remaining in this season’s Premier League, the race to the title currently involves just two teams, one of which has around twice the chance of the other of ending the season as 2014/2015 Premier League champions. Five … Continue reading

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Predicting the Premier League

At the beginning of last season, I collected 26 pre-season predictions for the Premier League with one half coming from a variety of statistical models and one half from the experts in the media. As expected, the statistical models came … Continue reading

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What is the error margin of goal line technology?

During the Premier League match between Aston Villa and Fulham on April 5, Lewis Holtby had a shot which was cleared off the line and adjudicated on by the goal line technology used by the league. Plenty of opinions were … Continue reading

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