Tag Archives: Chelsea

Predict 6 winners and win a book

Around three years ago I met, in a virtual sense, David Sumpter, a professor of mathematics at the University of Uppsala in Sweden and a football nut like myself. He was writing a book called Soccermatics, which combined his work … Continue reading

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The 76: Predicting the big end of season matches

Last week, I invited people to predict the winners of the Champions League, Europa League, FA Cup and the three Football League play-off finals this season to win a copy of one of two books, Soccermatics or The Agony and … Continue reading

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Win a great book by predicting the 3 English play-offs & a bit more

The competition is now closed but you can still order Richard’s book by following the link in this article. Two years ago, I met writer Richard Foster (virtually) who, at that time, was working on his definitive history of the English … Continue reading

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How are your prediction skills?

The competition is now closed but you can still order David’s book and get a 10% discount with the link in this article. Around two years ago I met, in a virtual sense, David Sumpter, a professor of mathematics at … Continue reading

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Predicting the unpredictable

The Premier League season is coming around again and I am collecting predictions this week. Please check my Twitter timeline for details (@simongleave) or contact me there. Jan Mullenberg (@nacstatistieken), with assistance from Richard Lochten, has kindly written the blog … Continue reading

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The Premier League season no one saw coming

The maths that shows that football can’t be predicted. By David Sumpter, Professor of Applied Mathematics and author of Soccermatics With assistance from Simon Gleave, author of the Scoreboard Journalism blog The Premier League has been turned upside down this … Continue reading

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Why Chelsea are not (and have never been) relegation candidates

Posting odds on relegation to Twitter is guaranteed to elicit responses like “where are Chelsea?” or “what no Chelsea”. However Chelsea are not, and have never been close to being, relegation candidates this season. This is because, despite Chelsea being low … Continue reading

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Premier League rich but performs below par

The Deloitte Money League has been released and unsurprisingly, the Euro Club Index ranking, which rates clubs based on performance, is highly correlated with this annual ranking of wealth. Four of the top-five clubs on the Deloitte list are also … Continue reading

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Hot streaks likely to push points higher than model forecasts?

Alexej Behnisch and Constantinos Chappas have both produced excellent articles over the last few days outlining Premier League predictions at approximately the halfway stage of the season. The six models contained in Alexej’s analysis have their Premier League champions this season … Continue reading

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Assessing the Premier League predictions

At the beginning of the Premier League season, and also at the end of the transfer window, we collected a total of 60 predictions for the final rank order of this season’s Premier League. Some were submitted to us with … Continue reading

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