Palace v Man City: An alternative Premier League preview

The final match of the 31st match round of the 2014/2015 Premier League takes place this evening between Manchester City, who went into the weekend in second place, and Crystal Palace from the bottom half of the Premier League table. Using the Euro Club Index to correct form for relative strength of the participating teams as well as home advantage during a sequence of results can help provide an alternative view of the match as can the Euro Club indices themselves. Add a simple measure like SCoRe (Seasonal Comparative Results) to the mix and a simple alternative view of the match can be produced without the need for any data more complicated than results.

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Prediction Analysis by Steve Lawrence

With 8 rounds to go in the Premiership and 6 rounds to go in the Eredivisie this is my penultimate blog for the Scoreboard Journalism Challenge.

Points and place predictions were invited from prominent media, stats modellers, fans and online publishers and the following blog entries have recorded the season’s progress so far:

https://scoreboardjournalism.wordpress.com/2014/08/22/48-forecasts-the-eredivisie-predicted/

https://scoreboardjournalism.wordpress.com/2014/09/11/predicting-the-premier-league/

https://scoreboardjournalism.wordpress.com/2014/08/25/predicting-the-eredivisie-a-guest-post-by-steve-lawrence/

https://scoreboardjournalism.wordpress.com/2014/12/05/guest-post-steve-lawrence-assesses-the-premier-league-predictions/

https://scoreboardjournalism.wordpress.com/2015/01/09/guest-post-a-prediction-update-from-steve-lawrence/

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Are Liverpool really the Premier League’s most in-form team?

Liverpool lead the Premier League form table based on the last 10 matches with 24 points out of a possible 30 but does this really make the Reds the most in-form team? Scoreboard Journalism investigated….

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The Ageing Game

FOOTBALL – Manchester City opened its new £200 million academy in December 2014 but young talents have been given very little opportunity at City in recent seasons. A new piece of research looks at how the age structures of teams in the Premier League have changed and why Manchester City are probably on the verge of needing a serious change in order to sustain their success of recent years.     Continue reading

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Sixty-two days, seventeen matches

Sixty-one days ago – today is day 62 – Tottenham Hotspur lined up in Turkey to play their final Europa League group match against Besiktas which they went on to lose 1-0. Two days earlier, Liverpool drew 1-1 with FC Basel in what was their final Champions League match of the season. This evening, the two clubs play each other and for both, it will be their 17th match of the last nine weeks, the most played by any European club over that period.

MatchesEuro

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Euro Club Index: Chelsea would win title in 2 seasons out of every 3 from here

With 17 matches remaining in this season’s Premier League, the race to the title currently involves just two teams, one of which has around twice the chance of the other of ending the season as 2014/2015 Premier League champions. Five more clubs have a realistic chance of a top-4 spot whilst eight teams are currently involved in the relegation battle. This leaves just five – West Ham, Swansea City, Stoke City, Newcastle United and Everton – without much left to play for.

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Guest post: A prediction update from Steve Lawrence

The Scoreboard Journalism challenge for points and place predictions from prominent media, stats modellers, fans and online publishers for both the Eredivisie and the Premier League has attracted considerable interest and the original posts can be found at:
https://scoreboardjournalism.wordpress.com/2014/08/22/48-forecasts-the-eredivisie-predicted/

&

https://scoreboardjournalism.wordpress.com/2014/09/11/predicting-the-premier-league/.

Throughout the season, fellow blogger and analyst Steve Lawrence has been putting the predictions under the statistical microscope and predicting what might happen. You can find his last excellent post here: https://scoreboardjournalism.wordpress.com/2014/12/05/guest-post-steve-lawrence-assesses-the-premier-league-predictions/. Steve now looks at how the busy Christmas and New Year period have affected things.

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