Tag Archives: Luck

Are France bad or just unlucky?

France’s 2-0 defeat in the Ukraine suggests that they will not qualify for the 2014 World Cup in Brazil. It is therefore likely that France will be the only former World Cup winners absent from the competition but are France … Continue reading

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Champions League draw: who to avoid, who to wish for

I have previously written about the luck of the draw and how this affected both Manchester City and Chelsea in particular last season. Both clubs went out at the Champions League group stage after being drawn in much tougher groups … Continue reading

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Is 12 matches really enough to judge Mancini?

I have written about Manchester City’s Champions League campaign before here but twitter discussions today brought the subject back to me, not least this tweet: So, to attempt to answer Douglas’s question, I would like to refer to Michael Mauboussin’s book … Continue reading

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How World Cup qualification has become fairer (Part 1)

Last month I looked at how holding the World Cup qualifying draw 13 months before the first ball was kicked in the European section has led to changes in the balance of groups from which some teams have benefitted and … Continue reading

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The luck of the draw strikes twice in World Cup qualification

The definition of luck is ‘success or failure apparently brought by chance rather than through one’s own actions’. The draw for the groups to qualify for the 2014 World Cup was made more than a year ago, nearly four months … Continue reading

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