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Tag Archives: prediction
The 76 predict the Championship play-offs
As I discussed here, I received 76 predictions for the winners of six finals or end of season competitions last week. Those 76 can perhaps be seen as “the crowd” and therefore it is interesting to analyse whether that crowd … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Championship, Euro Club Index, Fulham, Huddersfield Town, Play-offs, prediction, Reading, Sheffield Wednesday, The 76
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The 76: Predicting the big end of season matches
Last week, I invited people to predict the winners of the Champions League, Europa League, FA Cup and the three Football League play-off finals this season to win a copy of one of two books, Soccermatics or The Agony and … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Ajax, Arsenal, Blackpool, Bradford City, Carlisle United, Champions League, Championship, Chelsea, Europa League, Exeter City, FA Cup, Fulham, Huddersfield Town, Juventus, League One, League Two, Luton Town, Manchester United, Millwall, prediction, Predictions, Reading, Real Madrid, Sheffield Wednesday
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How are your prediction skills?
The competition is now closed but you can still order David’s book and get a 25% discount with the link in this article. Around a year ago I met, in a virtual sense, David Sumpter, a professor of mathematics at … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Champions League, Europa League, FA Cup, League One, League Two, playoffs, prediction, Soccermatics
2 Comments
Introducing logic into title-race predictions
During my trip to London this week, I picked up a copy of The Times and discovered that the newspaper’s resident stats man Bill Edgar had predicted the remaining 13 matches of the Premier League season for the current top-five … Continue reading
Assessing the Premier League predictions
At the beginning of the Premier League season, and also at the end of the transfer window, we collected a total of 60 predictions for the final rank order of this season’s Premier League. Some were submitted to us with … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Arsenal, Aston Villa, Burnley, Chelsea, Crystal Palace, Everton, forecast, Hull City, Leicester City, Liverpool, Manchester City, Manchester United, Newcastle United, prediction, Premier League, Queens Park Rangers, Southampton, Stoke City, Sunderland, Swansea City, Tottenham Hotspur, West Bromwich Albion, West Ham United
6 Comments
How did we do? Assessing Eurovision forecasting
With the Premier League finishing, the result of the pre-season predictions competition will be announced here later today but yesterday’s interlude of a Eurovision Song Contest forecast also needs to be assessed and compared to others. We therefore scoured the internet … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Data driven, Eurovision Song Contest, forecast, Italy, prediction, Russia, Sweden
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Who were the best Eredivisie predictors of 2014/2015?
Back in August 2014, we collected 48 pre-season predictions for the Eredivisie. These forecasts came from fans, statistical models, online media as well as a group of prominent media experts. The majority of entries gave the order of the 18 … Continue reading
Predicting the Eredivisie: A guest post by Steve Lawrence
Last season, I collected 13 forecasts before the 2013/2014 Eredivisie season, the results of which can be found here. Throughout last season, Relative Age Effect expert Steve Lawrence, an Englishman living in Amsterdam, sent me all sorts of graphs relating to … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged coefficient of variation, Eredivisie, football, mean, prediction, PSV, Soccermetrics, Standard deviation, Steve Lawrence, Twente, Utrecht
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48 Forecasts: The Eredivisie predicted
Following on from last year, we have again collected Eredivisie predictions (you can download them all here) but instead of 13 to follow through the season, we now have a total of 48 from online media, fans, statistical models and … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged ADO Den Haag, Ajax, AZ, Eredivisie, Excelsior, fans, FC Dordrecht, FC Groningen, FC Twente, FC Utrecht, Feyenoord, Forecasting, Go Ahead Eagles, Heracles Almelo, NAC Breda, online media, PEC Zwolle, prediction, prominent media, PSV, SC Cambuur, sc Heerenveen, statistical models, Vitesse, Willem II
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Eredivisie 2013/2014 predictions: how did they fare?
This time last year, Scoreboard Journalism embarked on an exercise to collect Eredivisie predictions from various sources to be assessed to discover how these predictions actually fared. A similar exercise has already begun in time for Friday’s big kick-off for … Continue reading