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Monthly Archives: February 2016
West Brom underdogs in “giantkilling” for third time
The most immediately eye-catching result of this year’s FA Cup fifth round has to be Reading’s 3-1 defeat of Premier League West Bromwich Albion. Reading are languishing in 16th position in the Championship while West Brom look all but safe … Continue reading
Introducing logic into title-race predictions
During my trip to London this week, I picked up a copy of The Times and discovered that the newspaper’s resident stats man Bill Edgar had predicted the remaining 13 matches of the Premier League season for the current top-five … Continue reading
What wins: Expert intuition or statistical analysis?
This is a guest post by Chad Murphy (@soccermetric) Most readers of this blog probably already know, but Simon Gleave (@SimonGleave) and Steve Lawrence (@SteveLawrence_) have been running a competition, comparing the accuracy of pre-season EPL predictions for a variety … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged fans, media experts, Philip Tetlock, Predictions, Premier League, Statistical modellers, Violin plot
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Why Chelsea are not (and have never been) relegation candidates
Posting odds on relegation to Twitter is guaranteed to elicit responses like “where are Chelsea?” or “what no Chelsea”. However Chelsea are not, and have never been close to being, relegation candidates this season. This is because, despite Chelsea being low … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Ajax, Chelsea, Euro Club Index, Premier League, Probability
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China and England the two big winter transfer window players
This post is a collaboration between Scoreboard Journalism and Show Legend, a data visualisation blog which provided the idea and the graphs and plots. You can click on these for the full interactive version. The data is sourced from Transfermarkt.com. … Continue reading