The Europa League kicks off on Thursday, 18 September and at this stage there is less chance of an eventual Europa League winner coming from one of the 48 teams starting the competition than there is from one of the 32 teams currently competing in the Champions League.
Using the Euro Club Index ranking of European football clubs, it is possible to simulate the Europa League and Champions League tournaments in order to estimate the chances that each team has of winning the competition, or of reaching specific stages. Tottenham Hotspur are currently favourites but, with 80 teams in with a theoretical chance of winning it, Spurs only have around a 9% chance of ending the season as Europa League winners. Below are the 10 most likely champions of this season’s Europa League prior to the Champions League or Europa League starting, and their chance of lifting the trophy.
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