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Tag Archives: Predictions
The 76 predict the League Two play-offs
After a poor start with only 14 of the 76 predictors managing to correctly forecast one of the two finalists in the Championship play-offs, attention turns to the League Two play-offs as the second legs of the two semi-finals will … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Blackpool, Carlisle United, Euro Club Index, Exeter City, League Two, Luton Town, Predictions, The 76
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The 76: Predicting the big end of season matches
Last week, I invited people to predict the winners of the Champions League, Europa League, FA Cup and the three Football League play-off finals this season to win a copy of one of two books, Soccermatics or The Agony and … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Ajax, Arsenal, Blackpool, Bradford City, Carlisle United, Champions League, Championship, Chelsea, Europa League, Exeter City, FA Cup, Fulham, Huddersfield Town, Juventus, League One, League Two, Luton Town, Manchester United, Millwall, prediction, Predictions, Reading, Real Madrid, Sheffield Wednesday
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Win a great book by predicting the 3 English play-offs & a bit more
The competition is now closed but you can still order Richard’s book by following the link in this article. Two years ago, I met writer Richard Foster (virtually) who, at that time, was working on his definitive history of the English … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Ajax, Arsenal, Atletico Madrid, Blackpool, Bradford City, Cambridge United, Carlisle United, Celta de Vido, Chelsea, Exeter City, Fulham, Huddersfield Town, Juventus, League One, League Two, Luton Town, Manchester United, Millwall, Olympique Lyon, Play-offs, Predictions, Reading, Real Madrid, Richard Foster, Sheffield Wednesday, The Agony and the Ecstasy
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Predicting the unpredictable
The Premier League season is coming around again and I am collecting predictions this week. Please check my Twitter timeline for details (@simongleave) or contact me there. Jan Mullenberg (@nacstatistieken), with assistance from Richard Lochten, has kindly written the blog … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Analysis, Aston Villa, Chelsea, Leicester City, Predictions, Premier League, Sunderland, WBA, West Bromwich Albion
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The Premier League season no one saw coming
The maths that shows that football can’t be predicted. By David Sumpter, Professor of Applied Mathematics and author of Soccermatics With assistance from Simon Gleave, author of the Scoreboard Journalism blog The Premier League has been turned upside down this … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Chelsea, Leicester City, Liverpool, Manchester United, Predictions, Premier League, Soccermatics, Tottenham Hotspur, West Ham United
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What wins: Expert intuition or statistical analysis?
This is a guest post by Chad Murphy (@soccermetric) Most readers of this blog probably already know, but Simon Gleave (@SimonGleave) and Steve Lawrence (@SteveLawrence_) have been running a competition, comparing the accuracy of pre-season EPL predictions for a variety … Continue reading
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Tagged fans, media experts, Philip Tetlock, Predictions, Premier League, Statistical modellers, Violin plot
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Premier League forecasters wrong-footed
At the beginning of the 2015/2016 Premier League season, we at Scoreboard Journalism collected 92 pre-season forecasts from journalists, statistical modellers and fans. Steve Lawrence carried out an initial analysis and discovered that this season’s forecasts are way off the … Continue reading
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Tagged coefficient of variation, mean, Pearsons r, Predictions, Premier League, Soccermetric, Steve Lawrence
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Can anyone really predict a Premier League season?
This is a guest post by David Sumpter who is currently writing Soccermatics, which will come out on May 5th 2016 with Bloomsbury Books. This blog post is part of one of the book chapters on “Betting against the masses”. … Continue reading
Prediction Analysis by Steve Lawrence
With 8 rounds to go in the Premiership and 6 rounds to go in the Eredivisie this is my penultimate blog for the Scoreboard Journalism Challenge. Points and place predictions were invited from prominent media, stats modellers, fans and online … Continue reading
Guest post: A prediction update from Steve Lawrence
The Scoreboard Journalism challenge for points and place predictions from prominent media, stats modellers, fans and online publishers for both the Eredivisie and the Premier League has attracted considerable interest and the original posts can be found at: https://scoreboardjournalism.wordpress.com/2014/08/22/48-forecasts-the-eredivisie-predicted/ & … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Chelsea, Everton, Leicester City, Predictions, Premier League, Relegation
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