Tag Archives: Predictions

Predicting the unpredictable

The Premier League season is coming around again and I am collecting predictions this week. Please check my Twitter timeline for details (@simongleave) or contact me there. Jan Mullenberg (@nacstatistieken), with assistance from Richard Lochten, has kindly written the blog … Continue reading

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The Premier League season no one saw coming

The maths that shows that football can’t be predicted. By David Sumpter, Professor of Applied Mathematics and author of Soccermatics With assistance from Simon Gleave, author of the Scoreboard Journalism blog The Premier League has been turned upside down this … Continue reading

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What wins: Expert intuition or statistical analysis?

This is a guest post by Chad Murphy (@soccermetric) Most readers of this blog probably already know, but Simon Gleave (@SimonGleave) and Steve Lawrence (@SteveLawrence_) have been running a competition, comparing the accuracy of pre-season EPL predictions for a variety … Continue reading

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Premier League forecasters wrong-footed

At the beginning of the 2015/2016 Premier League season, we at Scoreboard Journalism collected 92 pre-season forecasts from journalists, statistical modellers and fans. Steve Lawrence carried out an initial analysis and discovered that this season’s forecasts are way off the … Continue reading

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Can anyone really predict a Premier League season?

This is a guest post by David Sumpter who is currently writing Soccermatics, which will come out on May 5th 2016 with Bloomsbury Books.  This blog post is part of one of the book chapters on “Betting against the masses”. … Continue reading

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Prediction Analysis by Steve Lawrence

With 8 rounds to go in the Premiership and 6 rounds to go in the Eredivisie this is my penultimate blog for the Scoreboard Journalism Challenge. Points and place predictions were invited from prominent media, stats modellers, fans and online … Continue reading

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Guest post: A prediction update from Steve Lawrence

The Scoreboard Journalism challenge for points and place predictions from prominent media, stats modellers, fans and online publishers for both the Eredivisie and the Premier League has attracted considerable interest and the original posts can be found at: https://scoreboardjournalism.wordpress.com/2014/08/22/48-forecasts-the-eredivisie-predicted/ & … Continue reading

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