Tag Archives: Premier League

The Premier League season no one saw coming

The maths that shows that football can’t be predicted. By David Sumpter, Professor of Applied Mathematics and author of Soccermatics With assistance from Simon Gleave, author of the Scoreboard Journalism blog The Premier League has been turned upside down this … Continue reading

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China joins England as biggest annual transfer spenders

This post is a collaboration between Scoreboard Journalism and Show Legend. The data is sourced from Transfermarkt.com. The Chinese Super League begins this weekend and, as we showed here, Chinese clubs have become a major force on the international transfer … Continue reading

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Introducing logic into title-race predictions

During my trip to London this week, I picked up a copy of The Times and discovered that the newspaper’s resident stats man Bill Edgar had predicted the remaining 13 matches of the Premier League season for the current top-five … Continue reading

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What wins: Expert intuition or statistical analysis?

This is a guest post by Chad Murphy (@soccermetric) Most readers of this blog probably already know, but Simon Gleave (@SimonGleave) and Steve Lawrence (@SteveLawrence_) have been running a competition, comparing the accuracy of pre-season EPL predictions for a variety … Continue reading

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Why Chelsea are not (and have never been) relegation candidates

Posting odds on relegation to Twitter is guaranteed to elicit responses like “where are Chelsea?” or “what no Chelsea”. However Chelsea are not, and have never been close to being, relegation candidates this season. This is because, despite Chelsea being low … Continue reading

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Premier League rich but performs below par

The Deloitte Money League has been released and unsurprisingly, the Euro Club Index ranking, which rates clubs based on performance, is highly correlated with this annual ranking of wealth. Four of the top-five clubs on the Deloitte list are also … Continue reading

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Premier League forecasters wrong-footed

At the beginning of the 2015/2016 Premier League season, we at Scoreboard Journalism collected 92 pre-season forecasts from journalists, statistical modellers and fans. Steve Lawrence carried out an initial analysis and discovered that this season’s forecasts are way off the … Continue reading

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