Tag Archives: Premier League

Predicting the unpredictable

Posted on August 10, 2016 by scoreboardjournalism

The Premier League season is coming around again and I am collecting predictions this week. Please check my Twitter timeline for details (@simongleave) or contact me there. Jan Mullenberg (@nacstatistieken), with assistance from Richard Lochten, has kindly written the blog … Continue reading →

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

The Premier League season no one saw coming

Posted on May 20, 2016 by scoreboardjournalism

The maths that shows that football can’t be predicted. By David Sumpter, Professor of Applied Mathematics and author of Soccermatics With assistance from Simon Gleave, author of the Scoreboard Journalism blog The Premier League has been turned upside down this … Continue reading →

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

China joins England as biggest annual transfer spenders

Posted on March 3, 2016 by scoreboardjournalism

This post is a collaboration between Scoreboard Journalism and Show Legend. The data is sourced from Transfermarkt.com. The Chinese Super League begins this weekend and, as we showed here, Chinese clubs have become a major force on the international transfer … Continue reading →

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Introducing logic into title-race predictions

Posted on February 12, 2016 by scoreboardjournalism

During my trip to London this week, I picked up a copy of The Times and discovered that the newspaper’s resident stats man Bill Edgar had predicted the remaining 13 matches of the Premier League season for the current top-five … Continue reading →

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 3 Comments

What wins: Expert intuition or statistical analysis?

Posted on February 10, 2016 by scoreboardjournalism

This is a guest post by Chad Murphy (@soccermetric) Most readers of this blog probably already know, but Simon Gleave (@SimonGleave) and Steve Lawrence (@SteveLawrence_) have been running a competition, comparing the accuracy of pre-season EPL predictions for a variety … Continue reading →

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Why Chelsea are not (and have never been) relegation candidates

Posted on February 5, 2016 by scoreboardjournalism

Posting odds on relegation to Twitter is guaranteed to elicit responses like “where are Chelsea?” or “what no Chelsea”. However Chelsea are not, and have never been close to being, relegation candidates this season. This is because, despite Chelsea being low … Continue reading →

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , | 1 Comment

Premier League rich but performs below par

Posted on January 21, 2016 by scoreboardjournalism

The Deloitte Money League has been released and unsurprisingly, the Euro Club Index ranking, which rates clubs based on performance, is highly correlated with this annual ranking of wealth. Four of the top-five clubs on the Deloitte list are also … Continue reading →

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Premier League forecasters wrong-footed

Posted on January 20, 2016 by scoreboardjournalism

At the beginning of the 2015/2016 Premier League season, we at Scoreboard Journalism collected 92 pre-season forecasts from journalists, statistical modellers and fans. Steve Lawrence carried out an initial analysis and discovered that this season’s forecasts are way off the … Continue reading →

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Hot streaks likely to push points higher than model forecasts?

Posted on January 12, 2016 by scoreboardjournalism

Alexej Behnisch and Constantinos Chappas have both produced excellent articles over the last few days outlining Premier League predictions at approximately the halfway stage of the season. The six models contained in Alexej’s analysis have their Premier League champions this season … Continue reading →

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , | Leave a comment

Oxford beat Swansea – another non-existent FA Cup shock

Posted on January 11, 2016 by scoreboardjournalism

Oxford United’s 3-2 win against Swansea City marked the first time in four years that a fourth tier team had knocked a Premier League team out of the FA Cup. In 2012, League Two club Swindon Town beat the Premier … Continue reading →

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment