Is World Cup 2014 really the ‘Copa de Zebra’?

In Brazil, this World Cup is being termed the ‘Copa de Zebra’ with zebra meaning unexpected results but the Infostrada Sports Forecast model shows that the number of genuine surprises in match results is actually fairly low with just six matches producing a result which had less than 30% chance of happening.

At the end of the group phase, we will analyse how many shocks of this magnitude could have been expected. Currently the group of major shocks comprises Costa Rica’s two wins, Spain’s two defeats, Brazil’s failure to beat Mexico and Italy’s win against England. There hasn’t been a major surprise since Costa Rica’s win against Italy five days ago. More detail on how we have come to this conclusion can be found here:

The rest of this article can be read at by clicking here:


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1 Response to Is World Cup 2014 really the ‘Copa de Zebra’?

  1. Pingback: The ‘Copa de Zebra’ revisited | Scoreboard Journalism

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