Tag Archives: Premier League

Predicting the Premier League

At the beginning of last season, I collected 26 pre-season predictions for the Premier League with one half coming from a variety of statistical models and one half from the experts in the media. As expected, the statistical models came … Continue reading

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Why Dutch shooting accuracy unlikely to continue

Group B rivals Chile and the Netherlands have been the most accurate of the 32 teams with their shooting at the 2014 World Cup.  The Dutch in particular have been genuine sharp shooters with 21 of their 27 shots on … Continue reading

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What is the error margin of goal line technology?

During the Premier League match between Aston Villa and Fulham on April 5, Lewis Holtby had a shot which was cleared off the line and adjudicated on by the goal line technology used by the league. Plenty of opinions were … Continue reading

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The FA Cup ‘giantkillings’ that never were

FA Cup holders Wigan Athletic beat Crystal Palace in this year’s FA Cup fourth round, a match which seemed to sow doubt in the minds of some reporters in terms of how they should present a result which would normally … Continue reading

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What is a giantkilling?

The 2013-2014 FA Cup fourth round is in full swing with Arsenal’s 4-0 victory against Coventry City and Nottingham Forest’s goalless draw with Preston North End already consigned to the history books. Part of the romance of a cup competition … Continue reading

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Manchester City kings of the big matches

Matches against the Superior 7 this season do not produce the same neat clusters as were presented in the previous post on matches against the Threatened 13. Obviously this is partially due to less matches being played and it remains … Continue reading

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Introducing the Superior 7 and the Threatened 13

Recent Premier League seasons have confirmed the existence of two echelons within the league. Results of matches within and between these groups are very useful for monitoring the important issues within the league and some interesting conclusions can be drawn. … Continue reading

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