Tag Archives: Manchester City

Current Champions League team most likely to win Europa League

The Europa League kicks off on Thursday, 18 September and at this stage there is less chance of an eventual Europa League winner coming from one of the 48 teams starting the competition than there is from one of the … Continue reading

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Big Spanish clubs almost certain of CL last 16

The Champions League kicks off this week and the big three Spanish clubs in Euro Club Index terms are all but certain of making the second round of the competition. The fourth Spanish team, Athletic Bilbao, have profited more than … Continue reading

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Predicting the Premier League

At the beginning of last season, I collected 26 pre-season predictions for the Premier League with one half coming from a variety of statistical models and one half from the experts in the media. As expected, the statistical models came … Continue reading

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CL draw system increases Group of Death chance

The Champions League draw pots for this evening are based on the UEFA coefficients for clubs at the end of last season. Those coefficients are based on a five year performance in European competition. In general, this system works reasonably … Continue reading

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Manchester City kings of the big matches

Matches against the Superior 7 this season do not produce the same neat clusters as were presented in the previous post on matches against the Threatened 13. Obviously this is partially due to less matches being played and it remains … Continue reading

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Introducing the Superior 7 and the Threatened 13

Recent Premier League seasons have confirmed the existence of two echelons within the league. Results of matches within and between these groups are very useful for monitoring the important issues within the league and some interesting conclusions can be drawn. … Continue reading

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Champions League draw: who to avoid, who to wish for

I have previously written about the luck of the draw and how this affected both Manchester City and Chelsea in particular last season. Both clubs went out at the Champions League group stage after being drawn in much tougher groups … Continue reading

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