Monthly Archives: October 2012

Is the Premier League table lying to us?

In one of my first posts I introduced the idea of rank journalism and now that eight matches have been played in the Premier League, it is interesting to look at the league table and try and get behind what … Continue reading

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Forget the Eredivisie league table, Feyenoord are outperforming Ajax

Next Sunday at 12.30 (CET) the first “Klassieker” of the 2012/2013 season will take place in Rotterdam when Feyenoord host Ajax. Feyenoord had their best season for 11 years last term when they finished as Eredivisie runners-up behind Ajax and, … Continue reading

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Draws are upsets too

During the BBC live text feed of this week’s World Cup qualification matches Northern Ireland were described as having been “within 10 minutes of an upset” in Portugal. However, the draw which Northern Ireland managed in Portugal was not only … Continue reading

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Should Trappatoni be under pressure?

Ireland’s 6-1 home defeat by Germany last weekend has left manager Giovanni Trappatoni under enormous pressure and some commentators are hoping that he departs the job later this week. The Italian is perceived as having not delivered the results since … Continue reading

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How lucky were Poland in 1973?

On Tuesday evening, Poland host England for the sixth time in World Cup qualification, and the eighth time in qualification for either the World Cup or European Championship. The England team have won three of the last four qualification matches … Continue reading

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How World Cup qualification has become fairer (Part 2)

It is unclear how the qualification groups were decided prior to the introduction of performance related indicators like the FIFA World ranking. However, looking at the 1974 and 1978 qualification groups I would suggest that participation in the previous World … Continue reading

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How World Cup qualification has become fairer (Part 1)

Last month I looked at how holding the World Cup qualifying draw 13 months before the first ball was kicked in the European section has led to changes in the balance of groups from which some teams have benefitted and … Continue reading

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Premier League: Which teams are performing better than last season?

After seven matches in the Premier League for most clubs, it is Chelsea and West Bromwich Albion who stand out in terms of their results in comparison to last season. Both are also performing way beyond what was expected of … Continue reading

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ADO Den Haag and FC Twente amongst the surprise packages

Just under a quarter of this season’s Eredivisie fixtures have now been played and five of last season’s top seven are already sitting pretty in the top five of the league table. This, however, tells us nothing about whether they … Continue reading

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Three expected points models for the Premier League compared

I have mentioned my naïve base model in tweets and articles over the past week and as @the_number_game has again published his expected points model again at Forbes (see explanation of where that comes from in my earlier article here) it … Continue reading

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